Over 70% of glacier volume in Everest region could be lost by 2100

Over 70% of glacier volume in Everest region could be lost by 2100

A team of researchers in Nepal, France and the Netherlands have found Everest glaciers could be very sensitive to future warming, and that sustained ice loss through the 21st century is likely. If greenhouse-gas emissions continue to rise, glaciers in the Everest region of the Himalayas could experience dramatic change in the decades to come according to a research published in The Cryosphere, an open access journal of the European Geosciences Union (EGU).

 Instruments used to study the Mera Glacier region of the Dudh Kosi basin Credit: Patrick Wagnon

Instruments used to study the Mera Glacier region of the Dudh Kosi basin Credit: Patrick Wagnon

“The signal of future glacier change in the region is clear: continued and possibly accelerated mass loss from glaciers is likely given the projected increase in temperatures,” says Joseph Shea, a glacier hydrologist at the International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD), Kathmandu, Nepal, and leader of the study.

The glacier model used by Shea and his team shows that glacier volume could be reduced between 70% and 99% by 2100. The results depend on how much greenhouse-gas emissions continue to rise, and on how this will affect temperature, snowfall and rainfall in the area.

“Our results indicate that these glaciers may be highly sensitive to changes in temperature, and that increases in precipitation are not enough to offset the increased melt,” says Shea. Increased temperatures will not only increase the rates of snow and ice melt, but can also result in a change of precipitation from snow to rain at critical elevations, where glaciers are concentrated. Together, these act to reduce glacier growth and increase the area exposed to melt.

Glaciers in High Mountain Asia, a region that includes the Himalayas, contain the largest volume of ice outside the polar regions. The team studied glaciers in the Dudh Kosi basin in the Nepal Himalaya, which is home to some of the world’s highest mountain peaks, including Mt Everest, and to over 400 square kilometres of glacier area. “Apart from the significance of the region, glaciers in the Dudh Kosi basin contribute meltwater to the Kosi River, and glacier changes will affect river flows downstream,” says Shea.

Changes in glacier volume can impact the availability of water, with consequences for agriculture and hydropower generation. While increased glacier melt initially increases water flows, ongoing retreat leads to reduced meltwater from the glaciers during the warmer months, with greatest impact for the local populations before the monsoon when rainfall is scarce. Glacier retreat can also result in the formation and growth of lakes dammed by glacial debris. Avalanches and earthquakes can breach the dams, causing catastrophic floods that can result in river flows 100 times greater than normal in the Kosi basin.

To find out how glaciers in the region will evolve in the future, the team started by using field observations and data from local weather stations to calibrate and test a model of glacier change over the past 50 years. “To examine the sensitivity of modelled glaciers to future climate change, we then applied eight temperature and precipitation scenarios to the historical temperature and precipitation data and tracked how glacier areas and volumes responded,” says study co-author Walter Immerzeel of Utrecht University in the Netherlands.

Part of the glacier response is due to changes in the freezing level, the elevation where mean monthly temperatures are 0°C. “The freezing level currently varies between 3200 m in January and 5500 m in August. Based on historical temperature measurements and projected warming to the year 2100, this could increase by 800–1200m,” says Immerzeel. “Such an increase would not only reduce snow accumulations over the glaciers, but would also expose over 90% of the current glacierized area to melt in the warmer months.”

The researchers caution, however, that the results published in The Cryosphere should be seen as a first approximation to how Himalayan glaciers will react to increasing temperatures in the region. Patrick Wagnon, a visiting scientist at ICIMOD and glaciologist at the Institut de Recherche pour le Développement in Grenoble, France, says: “Our estimates need to be taken very cautiously, as considerable uncertainties remain.” For example, the model simplifies glacier movements, which impact how glaciers respond to increases in temperature and precipitation.

But the researchers stress in the paper that “the signal of future glacier change in the region is clear and compelling” and that decreases in ice thickness and extent are expected for “even the most conservative climate change scenario.”

The research team is composed of J.M. Shea (International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development [ICIMOD], Kathmandu, Nepal), W.W. Immerzeel (ICIMOD and Department of Physical Geography, Utrecht University, the Netherlands), P. Wagnon (ICIMOD and Laboratoire d’étude des transferts en hydrologie, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Grenoble, France), C. Vincent (Laboratoire de Glaciologie et Geophysique de l’Environnement, CNRS, Grenoble, France) and S. Bajracharya (ICIMOD). – ICIMOD

For more info : www.the-cryosphere.net

PATA experts to help Nepal make tourism recovery plan

PATA experts to help Nepal make tourism recovery plan

Pacific Asia Travel Association (PATA) has taken initiative to help and support attempts of Nepali tourism industry to bounce back after the earthquake. A recovery plan with clear guidelines and action plan will be prepared by mid-June with the help of PATA experts, according to PATA officials.
PATA Nepal Chapter (2)
PATA Vice President Andrew Jones and Crisis Management Expert Bert Van Walbeek, who have a long experience on crisis management have helped countries like the Philippines, Thailand, Bali, Sri Lanka to name a few cope with natural calamities and after war effects, are in Nepal in this context.
To help them in the initial preliminary task, an interaction with the entrepreneurs and representatives from the private and public sectors was organized recently to explore and exchange ideas on tourism recovery initiatives in the aftermath of April 25 earthquake.

Speaking at the program, Jones suggested using the expertise of professionals, to have more promotional programs and engage celebrities. He further assured to mobilize PATA network to help Nepal for overcoming the recent crisis.

PATA is also recommending its action-oriented plan to the government, PATA Nepal Chapter and PATA headquarters.
Walbeek presented various ideas on the recovery process. He asked Nepali tourism stakeholders to believe in positive things and suggested not to offer discount packages but give additional value added services to the guests.

PATA Nepal Chapter (1)

Similarly, National Planning Commission (NPC) Member Chandra Mani Adhikari requested stakeholders to work on to rebuild damages, try to showcase the heritage sites which are intact, and be positive toward daily business life. He believed that the input from PATA experts will help Nepal to formulate short-term, mid-term, and long-term plans for revival of tourism industry. Tourism Secretary Suresh Man Shrestha highlighted the importance of an experts’ view to make recovery plans and informed participants of the interaction about the programs being carried out by the Tourism Recovery Committee (TRC).

PATA Secretary Basanta Mishra said that if things go smoothly, Nepal’s tourism can bounce back in the upcoming season starting from September.

Similarly, Administrative Chief of Nepal Tourism Board (NTB) Ramesh Adhikari highlighted two major things to do at the time of crisis — repairing and preparing. “Repairing for now and preparing for tomorrow can be done by the stakeholders through common effort and joint initiative,” he added.

Source: Myrepublica

Specific Plan for Developing Tourism In Five Most Earthquake Affected Districts In Nepal

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In course of re-establishment of tourism industry in Nepal, a concept of tourism village is developed. This plan has a goal of making one village an example to tourism industry among five affected districts. Tourism ministry has planned in making five tourism villages.
Tourism Council will working in hand to hand with Urban Development ministry in this process. Said director in chief of Tourism council Mr. Tulashi Prasad Gautam. These type of villages will be made on most affected areas like Gorkha, Dhading, Sindhupalchowk and Dolakha.
Least affected villages from these regions will be selected and made Tourism Village. Gautam said, “For the development of villages, private organizations in those areas will be given some help in and other services will be made available to them.”
These districts are most visited tourist destinations. Langtang which lies in between Gorkha and Rasuwa district, Manasalu of gorkha and many regions of Sindhupalchowk and Dolakha are hugely affected by the quake. In place of the regions which has been completely destroyed by the earthquake new destinations are being planned for making.
According to tourism council, Langtang of Rasuwa, Manaslu of Gorkha, Helambu of Sindhupalchowk, and Gaurisankhar of Dolakha are being planned to be made as tourism villages.
More tourism villages will be made in other affected regions too, Gautam said. We need some home stays too as many of hotels in these regions are affected.

TOURISM RE-ESTABLISHMENT FUND:-
For the recovery of tourism a fund will be made in which first of all Nepal Tourism Board will help 10 crores. Said the Co- director in chief of council Ramesh Kumar Adhikari. A bank account will be opened as soon as possible and an appeal for help will be made to different organizations, international agencies etc. Tourism Recovery Committee (TRC) will make efforts on collection of details on affected areas and they will propose an agenda of developing those areas in right way.

FIRST PRIORITY WILL BE GIVEN TO TREKKING:-
Many trekking routes are affected due to the earthquake. These routes will be made as soon as possible and government will give its full force for fast re-development of this trails, said co-director Adhikari. Adhikari also said, “Main Trekking are affected in many places, in some places it is fully destroyed and in some it is partially affected. Partially affected routes can be re-constructed and a new route will be developed in places which can’t be re-build.
About 350 KM of trekking route is affected by the earthquake in total. Three crores is needed to open these routes, said Director in Chief Gautam.

A GUIDE MUST BE NEEDED FOR TREKKING:-
The affected regions of the earthquake are really dangerous so no trekkers will be permitted to trek alone without a guide. Gutam said, “Alone trekkers will not be permitted there must be group of two or more than two trekkers. One trained trekking guide is compulsory in those group.”

WE CANT MISS NEXT SEASON:-
This September was a complete loss in tourism industry. Up to nest September we must build a safe environment for tourists, said member of TRC Pandey. Pandey also said, “These kind of natural disaster does not take place in Nepal only, it too happens in other countries. What we should learn from them is fast recovery.” He added, “We should learn from them and make our efforts effective.”
After the earthquake number of tourist coming to Nepal is decreased but number of volunteers from different countries is certainly increased. Up to next season, tourist who used to come visit Nepal for fun should be increased. For this governmental and private organization should work joining hands.
Pandey said that PATA is the organization which has helped many countries for the recovery of tourism and PATA has promised to help Nepal to get through difficult condition. A team of expertise will soon arrive in Nepal. He said, “PATA will play effective role in re-development of tourism in Nepal.”

NUMBER OF TOURISTS WILL BE INCREASED:-
When these aftershocks will be over, it is believed that number of tourists visiting Nepal will also increase. Gautam said that, “International airlines had stopped providing its service as there were no more than 30 tourists. This number was increasing up to 70 but the strong aftershock on Tuesday decreased the number again.”
According to data of Airlines if aftershocks will decrease than number of tourists will increase, said Gautam. We should make sure and advertise Nepal does not still mean danger it’s safe and peaceful now for visiting.

EFFORTS BEING MADE TO OPEN HERITAGES:-
Many historical heritages, cultural spots, Durbar squares are affected by earthquake. Some of them are crushed to rubble. Now this places should be reconstructed and should be made safe to visit. Council is trying its best and making every efforts they can for this purpose, said Adhikari. There was meeting held between DOA and related agencies on this topic,
Due to the quake five hundred and twenty one heritages are destroyed. If another strong aftershock comes then many of them will be destroyed completely. For proper re- construction of these heritages and to make sure it’s safe for visiting many works are yet to be done, said Adhikari.

FIVE CRORES FOR VICTIMS:-
Tourism board will help five crores to earthquake victims. This decision was made by the meeting held on Baishak 31st. this amount will be deposited in Prime Minister Relief fund.
Private sectors should also help in this recovering process as much as possible and there is regular discussion going on in this matter from time to time in meeting held by Tourism Board.
In this difficult time of country each and every hands and heads are required for fast recovering of the country and tourism industry. As tourism is one of the main economical source for Nepal it must be recovered as fast as possible.

 Source: http://tourismheadline.com/

Got vacation days? Consider a trip to Nepal

Got vacation days? Consider a trip to Nepal

Normally May is the busiest month in Bhaktapur, the decorated old city on the outskirts of Kathmandu. Tourists throng through the narrow alleyways, admiring the intricate wooden carving on temples and stupas (Buddhist holy places) and houses.

Seven UNESCO world heritage sites stood in the valley of Kathmandu, their beautiful pyramid roofs reaching towards the sky.

Bhaktapur’s Durbar Square was one of the most well known sites, located just 10 kilometers from downtown Kathmandu. Each year, more than 100,000 tourists strolled through Bhaktapur, which means “City of the Devotees,” to admire the old city.

A view of Bhaktapur’s Durbar Square before the April 25 earthquake (Flickr Creative Commons)

A view of Bhaktapur’s Durbar Square before the April 25 earthquake (Flickr Creative Commons)

But Bhaktapur was also one of the most visible sites of destruction after April 25’s 7.8 magnitude earthquake. Many temples crashed to the ground, destroying more than a century of Nepali patrimony.

Some 10,000 people live in this old and beloved neighborhood. About 300 of them died, and two thirds of the houses were destroyed, according to a local tourism information officer.

As most Nepalis focus on solving the immediate problems of food distribution and semi-permanent housing before the monsoon season begins in June, those involved in the tourism industry are beginning to think about the future. They know that tourism must rebound as quickly as possible in order to minimize the economic damage of the earthquake, and help people begin working again. If tourism doesn’t return to previous levels, the impact of the earthquake will continue to echo for decades to come.

In the aftermath of the quake, the square in Bhaktapur, until recently filled with tourists, was still a hive of activity. Chinese organizations set up a drinking water distribution point. Norwegian doctors erected a small mobile clinic. Samsung ran a “communication hub” with a place to charge phones, use the Internet, and call relatives free of charge.

Hundreds of local Nepalis wandered around the square in shock, standing and looking at the holes in the sky where the temples used to be. A YouTube video from the moment of the quake shot in Durbar Square, the center of Bhaktapur, looks like a bad movie set, towers just crumbling to the ground as people pushed in panic toward the center of the square.

“Here in Bhaktapur, when we saw the Temples were gone, it was like the loss of a child,” said 58-year-old resident Jagat Sherhosai.

“I was born four months after the last earthquake [January 15, 1934],” said Sherhosai’s neighbor, Ratnamaya Suwal, 82. “I was pumping water when this earthquake hit, and that saved my life [because I was outdoors],” she said. “But my heart is beating so fast now. Bhaktapur has lost our pride. And I’m so scared it will happen again.”

Ratnamaya Suwal, 82, was born four months after the last massive earthquake in Kathmandu. Her house was demolished in the quake. (Melanie Lidman/Times of Israel)

Ratnamaya Suwal, 82, was born four months after the last massive earthquake in Kathmandu. Her house was demolished in the quake. (Melanie Lidman/Times of Israel)

“Tourism is one of the most important sectors in Nepal. In terms of our GDP it’s only about 4%, but in terms of employment it’s at least a million people,” said Tourism Department Director General Tulasi Prasad Guatam.

Nepal’s population is approximately 31 million, with more than 70% of the labor force working in agriculture. The million tourism employees include seasonal workers, like porters, as well as ancillary sectors like handicraft production, restaurants, and transportation.

The initial recovery effort will focus on Kathmandu, to ensure that hotels for international tourists (three stars and above) are structurally sound, explained Guatam. Then experts will check popular tourism sites within the Kathmandu Valley, which experienced significant damage during the quake. Finally, they will start assessing the popular treks and the Lang Tang region to determine how to best rehabilitate those areas.

“For a certain period of time, there is a negative impact, particularly outside of Kathmandu,” said Guatam. “But now you have medical support teams and aid agencies staying in hotels and spending money,” he said.

Tourism is a fast-growing industry in Nepal. In 2014, the Himalayan country hosted 800,000 international tourists, and in 2015, it was expecting 900,000. “For the past five to six years, we’ve been growing in 11%-12% increments each year,” said Guatam. This is largely due to the stabilization of the political situation, after a decade-long civil war against Maoist rebels ended in 2006.

Nepal’s stunning natural beauty drives the majority of tourism. According to government tourism statistics, 46% of visitors went to a National Park or wildlife area.

While some of the most popular treks, including the Lang Tang treks and Everest Base Camp, were devastated by the earthquake, Guatam wants to remind tourists that there is a whole country to discover. “This is an opportunity for new areas of the country that are little explored by tourists,” he said. “The east and far west of Nepal are equally beautiful. People can go visit there, though they may not have the same tourist-level hotels as in the middle areas like Pokhara,” he said.

Due to extreme rain during the monsoon seasons, tourism is highest during March-May and October-November. Trekking agencies know that the current season is no longer an option, as aftershocks continue to terrorize the area, notably a second strong quake on May 12.

But there is great hope that adventurous tourists will return in the fall. “Nepal is the name of adventure tourism,” said Bachchu N. Shrestha, the director of the Pasang Lhamu Sherpa Foundation and World Expeditions Trekking Company. Pasang Lhamu Sherpa was the first Nepali woman to summit Everest, though she died in an avalanche during the descent. Tourism and trekking operators started a foundation in her name to help small entrepreneurs launch tourism businesses in the trekking regions as well as promote women’s empowerment.

“If you love adventure, come to Lang Tang and do tented camping there,” said Shrestha. “The history of Nepalese tourism is very basic. You used to have to carry everything from Kathmandu. If you go back even 15 years in the Lang Tang area, there was tented camping and you had to bring everything.”

Before the quake, tea houses dotted most of the popular routes, so trekkers did not need to carry tents or their own food.

Then there’s also the small but growing segment of “disaster tourism,” harnessing peoples’ curiosity in the disaster to encourage tourism, Shrestha explained. “They did tsunami disaster tourism in Asia,” he said. “Disaster tourism is not a long-term plan; it’s about coming to visit now. Nepal is not dead. Your visit here, your expenditures can make sense to rebuild the community. It’s really to teach people to restart their businesses.”

He knows that people are curious what such a devastating earthquake looks like on the ground, even though there are serious ethical concerns about promoting this type of tourism.

But it’s difficult to imagine how tourism can reemerge in places like Lang Tang, which was completely demolished by the quake and ensuing landslides and avalanches.

Shrestha suggests quickly building houses with an extra room for tourists, who can experience homestays rather than traditional hotel experiences. This kind of travel also appeals to more adventurous tourists who are likely to be the first ones to return to Nepal.

There are also many treks that are unaffected by the quake. The popular Annapurna Circuit is still accessible and did not suffer much damage. Shrestha recommends The Great Himalaya Trail, a 1,700-kilometer walking path that traverses the country from east to west. Some sections will be unusable, but the majority of the trail is still hikeable, he said.

Back in Bhaktapur, shops slowly opened in the alleyways, even though the area was empty of tourists. Some stores opened in buildings hastily propped up with big wooden planks. Other shopkeepers hurriedly tried to remove their merchandise from buildings that looked about to collapse.

“I opened my store because it was too silent in this area,” explained Sanjay Darshandhari, 20, whose store sells the usual tourist offerings of brightly colored bags, magnets, and postcards. “I wanted to help people feel more relaxed. When we didn’t open, it was looking like a ghost place. When we started opening the stores, it’s a psychological thing, that things are getting back to normal.” Since opening, Darshandhari has had about one customer per day make a purchase, compared with more than 100 per day before the quake.

Work is already underway to rebuild the area. Two UNESCO volunteers in hardhats mapped some of the damage at one of the temples. The pair, Ludovic Dusuzeau and Pierre Gerard Bendele, are architects from Paris who were in the country for a month on a private research trip to study old Nepalese architecture. They visited Bhaktapur less than a week before the earthquake.

After the earthquake, they realized that they had detailed drawings of buildings that no longer existed. They decided to extend their trip by three months to volunteer with UNESCO. “It’s quite good to be useful as architects,” said Dusuzeau. “With UNESCO, it’s not only the buildings and temples that are important to preserve but also the urban plan, the streets, the houses. All of it is important from a patrimony point of view,” he said.

Ludovic Dusuzeau (left) and Pierre Gerard Bendele are two architects from Paris who were on a private research trip to study Nepalese patrimony when the earthquake struck. Now they are volunteering with UNESCO, using drawings they made just a week earlier of things that no longer exist. (Melanie Lidman/Times of Israel)

Ludovic Dusuzeau (left) and Pierre Gerard Bendele are two architects from Paris who were on a private research trip to study Nepalese patrimony when the earthquake struck. Now they are volunteering with UNESCO, using drawings they made just a week earlier of things that no longer exist. (Melanie Lidman/Times of Israel)

Damodar Suwal, a tourist information officer in Durbar Square, has trouble imagining what the rebuilt square will look like. For now, he’s concentrating on clearing the rubble from the square and protecting the national artifacts that lay strewn across the ground. Dozens of municipality workers and residents come every day to clean the square, even though their homes have also been destroyed.

They work on their homes in the morning and evening, but spend most of the daytime at the square, helping transform the piles of rubble into neat rows of bricks.

While debris still blocked alleyways in hard-hit parts of Kathmandu, Darbar Square was already partially cleaned and swept, highlighting the pride that locals take in this site.

“The earthquake will affect us positively and negatively,” said Suwal. “The positive part is that it has advertised all over the world that there is this place in Nepal called Bhaktapur that’s very beautiful. The negative aspect is that it destroyed all the temples and palaces. It will take at least ten years to recover. So we’ve been moved ten years aback. But the earthquake has also united all the people of Nepal for Bhaktapur.”

As the neatly stacked piles of rubble grow and the country moves from emergency to recovery phase, rehabilitating the economy is an essential part of rebuilding the country, officials said. Tourism is an inseparable and growing part of the Nepali economy, and one that the international community can affect directly.

“If you love Nepal, come here,” said Shrestha. “That is the message you need to take to the world. Come visit. We need to support the local economy so we can revive ourselves.”

Source: http://www.timesofisrael.com

NEPAL IS STILL SAFE FOR TOURISTS

Ground Realities of April 25 Earthquake in Nepal

pokhara1

  1. Out of 75 districts of Nepal, only 8 are affected.
  2. Out of 10 National Parks, only 1 is affected.
  3. All the highways and sub-ways are in operation with zero damage
  4. Out of 8 UNESCO World Heritage Sites, only 2 have around 40% damages
  5. 90% hotels in Kathmandu Valley are safe and in operational conditions. 100% Hotels in popular destinations like Pokhara, Chitwan, Lumbini, Bardiya, Ilam, Annapurna Region, Everest Region etc. are safe and in full operation.
  6. Out of 35 popular trekking routes, only 2 are affected
  7. All the International and National airports are in operation with zero damage
  8. Communication (nets, phone calls, ATM’s, swipe machines) is working well.
  9. Hospitals and Clinics are safe and in operation. No viral diseases or influenza is seen.

Nepalese, globally known as the most hospitable people, are ready to welcome the Guests. As, culturally, “Guests are God” In Nepal..

Experience the smiles even in sorrows.

Source: http://www.readymadeseminar.com/

Lumbini safe for tourists: LDT

lumbini (1)

Lumbini Development Trust (LDT) has invited tourists to visit Lumbini saying that monuments in the UNESCO World Heritage site have not suffered any damage due to the earthquake of April 25.
Issuing a press statement, LDT — the agency that oversees development and promotion of Lumbini — said Lumbini is safe to visit. “Domestic and foreign tourists can visit Lumbini without any fear,” LDT said in a statement.
lumbini_garden_nepal
Ajit Man Tamang, member secretary of LDT, said in the statement said that all temples and historical monuments in Lumbini are safe. “Sites connected to Lord Buddha’s life like his home town , Sacred Garden Kapilvastu, historical Kapilvastu Durbar Area in Tilaurakot, Buddha’s maternal uncle’s house in Devdaha, birthplace of Krukachanda Buddha in Gotihawa, and birthplace of Kanakmuni Buddha in Niglihawa have not suffered any damage,” the statement added.

Source: MyRepublica